Building ROI Cases That Executives Actually Approve: The Data You Need

10 min read
Building ROI Cases That Executives Actually Approve: The Data You Need

You've got a brilliant idea that could transform your department. You present it with passion. The CEO asks one question: "What's the ROI?"

You freeze.

If this sounds familiar, you're not alone. When Harvard Business Review tested American managers on financial literacy in 2009, they scored an average of just 38%. Things haven't improved much since. The 2024 TIAA Institute found the average American scores only 48% on financial literacy questions. Among small business owners, 42% admitted they had limited or no financial literacy before starting their businesses.

The problem isn't your ideas. It's the language gap between what you're proposing and what executives need to hear.

Why Executives Are Right to Demand ROI

Executives have good reason to be skeptical. The numbers are brutal. Bain's 2024 analysis found that 88% of business transformations fail to achieve their original ambitions. Boston Consulting Group reports 70% of digital transformations fall short. The Standish Group analyzed 50,000 technology projects globally and found 66% end in partial or total failure.

These aren't small misses. Failed initiatives waste 12% of annual revenue. Bad financial decisions cost companies 3% of profits. Gallup calculates that low employee engagement—often tied to failed projects and poor communication—costs the global economy $8.9 trillion annually. That's 9% of global GDP.

When executives demand high returns, they're not being unreasonable. Manufacturing leaders won't even look at projects without at least 3X return on investment (ROI). In technology, 3X to 5X ROI is considered "quite respectable." Private equity firms expect 3X returns as their standard. Most executives want payback within 12 to 24 months, and for software-as-a-service projects, they expect it in under 12 months.

Here's the good news: BCG found that companies can flip their success odds from 30% to 80% with clear metrics and proper planning. The key is understanding what executives actually care about and speaking their language.

The Language Gap That Kills Good Projects

The disconnect between middle management and the C-suite is staggering. MIT Sloan's 2018 study found only 26% of senior managers strongly agree their key performance indicators (KPIs) align with strategic objectives. Harvard Business Review discovered only 5% of employees understand their company's strategy. When Gallup asked, only 22% of employees felt their leaders had a clear direction for the organization.

This isn't just a communication problem—it's a fundamental misunderstanding of what drives executive decisions.

What Actually Drives Executive Compensation

To sell to someone effectively, you need to understand what success looks like for the person you are selling to. For executives, success is remarkably consistent and measurable.

Chief Executive Officers at S&P 1500 companies are measured primarily on operating income (65% of companies), revenue growth (48%), and Total Shareholder Return (68% for long-term awards).

Chief Financial Officers face different pressures. They're measured on operating cash flow, working capital management, and the cash conversion cycle—essentially, how quickly the business turns inventory and receivables back into cash.

The performance bar runs high. In 2024, median CEO annual incentive payouts reached 120% of target, driven by companies achieving 6% revenue growth and 8% operating income growth. CFOs did even better, with bonus payouts at 122% of target.

Yet despite these growth numbers, 57% of CFOs cite cost optimization as their top focus. Executives want profitable growth, not growth at any cost.

The Measurement Paradox

"You manage what you measure" (read my article for more on this). Measure activities—create 5 decks, hold 10 customer meetings, design feature X—and you will drive toward activities. But activities matter only when they produce results. To prove your value, show how your work drives the outcomes your company needs.

Wells Fargo learned this the hard way. Their focus on account openings led to 3.5 million fraudulent accounts. But Wells Fargo isn't the only cautionary tale.

Boeing's board examined financial risks and profits but never looked at airplane safety metrics. The result? Two 737 MAX crashes killed 346 people, the company lost $36 billion from 2019 to 2024, faced criminal fraud charges, and failed 37% of FAA quality control tests in 2024.

Sears provides another example. CEO Eddie Lampert focused on Shop Your Way Rewards enrollment metrics, claiming 144 million customers enrolled. But only 29 million accounts—20%—actually purchased anything. Employees created two to three fake customer accounts daily to meet targets while stores deteriorated. Sears spent just 91 cents per square foot on improvements while competitors spent $4 to $15. The company filed for bankruptcy in October 2018.

The lesson? Measure what matters, not what's easy to measure. Spider Strategies recommends limiting yourself to three to five KPIs per department. Cube Software suggests five to seven KPIs maximum for the entire company. Performance expert Stacey Barr insists no individual should own more than three KPIs.

Real-World Success: Consumer Packaged Goods Trade Promotion

Here's how this works in practice. I'll use the consumer packaged goods (CPG) industry as an example—the industry where my company's solution, CPGvision, operates.

The situation in CPG trade promotion is dire. McKinsey's widely-cited statistic from Nielsen's 2016 study found 59% of trade promotions lose money globally—72% in the United States. Current data suggests it's gotten worse: 70% to 75% of promotions now lose money. PwC reports 85% of CPG companies struggle with overspending and ineffective trade management.

This matters because trade promotion spending represents 11% to 27% of revenues for CPG companies—their second-largest expense after cost of goods sold. Even small improvements generate massive returns.

Here's what's possible. Trade promotion management systems typically deliver 5% to 10% efficiency improvements. PwC's Strategy& research found proper post-event analysis can drive 10% increases in trade spending ROI, with gains flowing directly to the bottom line. Companies using real-time analytics achieve 12% to 15% higher ROI on promotions. Those investing in comprehensive analytics see 27% increases in promotion efficiency.

The best performers dramatically outpace laggards—best-in-class promotions return five times more than the least efficient. For companies implementing comprehensive programs, 5% to 20% profit improvement is achievable within one to two years. For large manufacturers, that translates to $100 million or more in profit improvements.

For CPGvision, we built an ROI calculator and put together a guide on building a business case for a TPM solution to help our prospects and customers navigate all of this.

Company A: From Excel to Excellence

Let me tell you about Company A (name anonymized for confidentiality). Before implementing CPGvision's trade promotion management platform, they were manually plugging promotions into Excel spreadsheets. Their senior vice president told us, "We needed a solution that would free up the team to go into deeper aspects of their jobs and expand our growth opportunities."

Their goals were straightforward: improve trade efficiency, increase transparency, reduce manual entry, and provide accurate sales projections to inform product and supply chain decisions.

The results? They achieved a 9% improvement in Cost per Incremental Dollar—a key metric that measures how much they spend to generate each additional dollar of sales. This translated to over $600,000 in annual savings from trade efficiency alone. The system paid for itself in under two years.

Company B: Transformation at Scale

Company B took things even further. They wanted to stabilize, streamline, and automate their trade management processes while accurately projecting trade spend on an ongoing basis.

They needed high user adoption, consolidated data, a solution scalable to new markets, and trackable KPIs. They got all of that and more.

Between their first and second planning rounds, they achieved a 10% improvement in actual trade efficiency, surpassing their planned rates. That 10% improvement equals $541,429 in annual savings—more than three times their system license cost. But the real transformation came in accuracy: their trade spend variance dropped from 29% to 4%. They also realized $2 million in value from more accurate spend projections.

Over three years, their $2.4 million investment returned $3.5 million. But more importantly, they transformed how they think about and manage trade promotion.

The CPGvision Method: Building ROI Into Every Step

Here's what makes our approach different: ROI measurement isn't an afterthought. Over 13 years working in the trade promotion space, we've learned that successful projects build measurement in from day one.

During blueprinting—the planning phase before any system gets built—we work with clients to identify their specific ROI metrics. These aren't generic benchmarks; they're customized KPIs based on what we've learned works for companies like yours. We build these reports directly into our sprint planning. They're not something we tack on at the end; they're core to the implementation.

Our framework focuses on four pillars:

1. Spend Optimization through Trade Promotion Management and Optimization The math here is straightforward. If you're spending $200 million on trade promotion and 70% loses money, a 5% efficiency improvement puts $10 million back in your pocket. We typically see ~5% improvements, with some clients achieving more. One North American CPG saw 2% incremental sales and 3% household penetration increases in year one. A European CPG achieved 1% to 2% sales growth and 4% to 5% EBITDA increases.

2. Reconciliation Accuracy Invalid deductions often represent 10% of trade spend. Our systems help customers catch these while improving productivity by 20% to 30%. Every dollar recovered goes straight to your bottom line.

3. Forecast Accuracy When you get the right product to the right place at the right time, magic happens. Reducing out-of-stocks from 2% to 1% might sound small, but it drives significant revenue. Improving returns by 10% to 30% reduces waste and improves margins.

4. Productivity Improvements Your people are expensive and talented. We typically see 25% time reduction in sales planning, and 15% to 20% efficiency gains in deduction processing. That freed-up time goes toward higher-value activities that drive growth.

But here's what really sets us apart: we don't disappear after go-live. Our customer success team continues tracking these metrics, holding quarterly business reviews to ensure you're achieving the promised value. We've built this into Salesforce CRMA reporting dashboards so you can see your ROI in real-time, not just in an annual review.

Getting Buy-In: Your Presentation Playbook

Now let's talk about actually getting your project approved. Timing matters more than you might think.

Start socializing your idea three to six months before the formal presentation. McKinsey's research shows CFOs need to free up resources as much as a year before strategy deployment. Only 50% of companies effectively align budgets with strategies—don't let poor timing kill your project.

The Pre-Meeting Strategy

Here's a shocking statistic: 74% of board directors say they want more time spent on strategy, yet only 35% rate their board's effectiveness as excellent or good. They're hungry for good ideas but starved for time.

The solution? Hold one-on-one meetings before the formal presentation. Use these to understand each stakeholder's specific concerns, build allies, and refine your message. When you walk into that boardroom, you should already know who supports you and what objections you'll face.

This isn't limited to board presentations; use this approach for getting senior leadership's buy-in on projects as well.

The Three-Slide Framework

When you get to the formal presentation, keep it simple. Harvard Business Review's Daniel Casse recommends starting with a governing thesis that captures the big idea. Remember, the CEO isn't your only audience—you need to win over the entire leadership team.

Slide 1: Current State and Cost of Inaction Start with the problem in their language: "We spend $200 million annually on trade promotion. Industry benchmarks show 70% to 75% of promotions lose money. That means we're wasting $140 million to $150 million every year. Our competitors using advanced analytics are achieving returns five times better than average."

Slide 2: Solution with Clear ROI Metrics Present three scenarios:

  • Conservative (5% improvement): $10 million annual profit improvement, 18-month payback
  • Likely (7% improvement): $14 million annual profit improvement, 14-month payback
  • Aggressive (10% improvement): $20 million annual profit improvement, 12-month payback

Include your measurement plan. Show them you'll track ROI from day one, not hope for it at the end.

Slide 3: Implementation Timeline and Risk Mitigation

  • Phase 1: Pilot with two brands and high-value accounts (60 days)
  • Phase 2: Expand to top 10 accounts (120 days)
  • Phase 3: Full rollout (180 days)

Address the elephant in the room: "What if this fails?" Show your pilot approach limits risk. If the pilot doesn't deliver projected ROI, you can stop before major investment.

Handling CFO Objections

The Accord Masterclass featuring CFOs from Ada, Webflow, and Own Company revealed their primary concerns. They want to see worst-case scenarios, not just best-case. They need you to differentiate between cost savings (money not spent) and cost avoidance (preventing future costs). And they always ask, "What's the impact if this completely fails?"

Here's the critical insight from those CFOs: "A big misconception is that CFOs are cheap and don't want to spend any money. This isn't true—they have money and they have targets. But they want to spend money on the right things."

Your job is to prove your project is one of those "right things."

The Power of Data-Driven Decisions

When you support your case with data, everything changes. Gartner found proposals with strong analytics support have 63% higher approval rates. McKinsey's research shows companies leveraging data-driven decision-making are 23 times more likely to acquire customers and 19 times more likely to be profitable.

Don't just throw numbers at them. Tell a story with data. Use their language from recent earnings calls. If they've been talking about "operational efficiency," frame your project in those terms. If "digital transformation" is the buzzword, position your initiative as a critical component.

80% of CFOs demand quick returns on automation investments. Give them what they want. Use "premortem" analysis to address skepticism before it arises. Keep presentations to 6-8 slides for 10-20 minutes—respect their time and they'll respect your proposal.

The Bottom Line

After 13 years helping CPG companies transform their trade promotion management, we've learned what works and what doesn't. The companies that succeed don't treat ROI as a hoped-for outcome. They build it into every phase of the project.

They start with clear, measurable objectives tied to executive priorities. They use conservative projections but plan for success. They pilot before they scale. And most importantly, they track and report on value creation continuously, not just at project completion.

Remember: you're not selling a project. You're selling profit improvement that happens to require a project. When you frame it that way, when you speak their language, when you show them exactly how you'll measure success—that's when the magic happens.

That's when the CEO stops asking "What's the ROI?" and starts asking "When can we start?"

The gap between middle managers with great ideas and executives who approve them doesn't have to be wide. You just need to build a bridge they can understand, measure, and trust.

At CPGvision, we've built that bridge into everything we do. Because after 13 years, we know that the best ROI isn't just promised—it's proven, measured, and delivered.


Ready to build your ROI case? Remember these essentials:

  • Executives expect 3X minimum ROI. Show 8X to land 3X.
  • Start socializing before formal presentation.
  • Use outcome metrics, not activity metrics.
  • Build measurement into your project plan.
  • Always have a worst-case scenario ready.

Your project might be brilliant. Now you know how to prove it.

I hope you found this helpful. Drop your comments or questions below and sign up for my weekly newsletter.

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